A
new poll released by the Club for Growth shows Doug Hoffman
leading in NY-23, with Dede Scozzafava in third place:
A poll released today by the Club for Growth shows Conservative
Party candidate Doug Hoffman surging into the lead in the
special election in New York's 23rd congressional district to
replace John McHugh, the former congressman who recently became
Secretary of the Army.
The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009,
shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens
at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22%
undecided. The poll's margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No
information was provided about any of the candidates prior to
the ballot question.
Important caveats: The sample size is small, the undecided vote
is large, Hoffman's lead is well within the nearly 6 percent
margin of error, and the Club for Growth has endorsed Hoffman.
But Hoffman is clearly a lot further along than it once seemed
likely. Robert Stacy McCain
reports on the main site today.