Nate Silver touches on the issue of financial regulation reform
and the Glass-Steagall II measure that Paul Volcker is
advocating, and makes an observation about the looming
legislative battle that seems astute:
From a 30,000-foot view, the debate will be between the
Volckerists and the Summersists, with the Volckerists
arguing that large financial institutions need to be broken up
-- probably through something resembling a modern Glass-Steagall
Act -- and the Summersists arguing instead for more
extensive regulations.
The 'hard', online left will almost certainly
take the Volckerist position. In fact, I
expect this to be the "public option" of
2010, the badge of pride that "movement
progressives" will use to distinguish themselves from
"kleptocrats".
This is exactly the split that I was referring to in my
earlier post on Volcker. Most people don't know or care about
even the broad outlines of financial regulation, except that the
left is usually in favor of more and the right in favor of less
regulation of any kind. The kinds of regulations that Larry
Summers or Austan Goolsbee would propose would be more intricate
and hard to follow than Volcker's plan, which is readily
understandable: split up the banks. It seems like a natural
rallying point for the liberal left: financial reform without
splitting up the banks is no reform at all.
Of course, someone will have to come up with a name for it that's
as snappy as "public option." I personally cannot think of a way
to make prohibiting banks from engaging in both commercial and
investment banking activities seem sexy.