Today, Afghan President Hamid Karzai accepted a run-off election
on November 7th after a UN panel found around one million of his
votes from the August election to be invalid. Under this scheme,
Karzai will face his challenger, Abdullah Abdullah, because he
was found after the review to have less than the necessary 50
percent of the vote in the first round. A run-off or
power-sharing arrangement was believed to be necessary due to
Karzai’s dubious credibility.
President Obama claimed a political victory and praised Karzai:
“President Karzai and the other candidates have shown that they
have the interests of the Afghan people at heart.”
I am speculating, but I wonder if there might have been another
motive besides having the hearts of the Afghan people in mind
while agreeing to such an early election. The Independent Election Commission of
Afghanistan, which announced that date, “consists of nine
members, including a chairperson and a deputy chairperson,
appointed by Presidential Decree.”
Abdullah rallied from single-digit support early in the summer to
gain 32% of the vote in the August round. Abdullah’s stock seems
to be rising, while Karzai’s is dwindling amid corruption
allegations not limited to this election. Moreover, it would seem
extremely difficult to root out all the corruption that happened
in the August election in a little over two weeks in a country
with very little resources or roads to speak of and plenty of
local warlords appointed by Karzai. In three weeks, we will very
likely be discussing the widespread corruption in the run-off and
be left with little options for pursuing a legitimate
government that can fight the Taliban.
This rush to action seems comparable to a football game where the
quarterback is trying to snap the ball before the defense is on
the field so that the offense can score before the defense is
ready. This looks like a desperate move to seize and retain
power before an effective election can take place, yet President
Obama is publicly praising Karzai’s heart.