While President Obama has made bending the health care cost curve
central to his drive to overhaul the nation's health care system,
Congressional Budget Office director Doug Elmendorf testified
this morning that last week's much-touted analysis by the CBO did
not measure whether the Senate Finance Committee would achieve
this.
Under questioning by Sen. Mike Crapo during today's Finance
Committee hearing, Elmendorf said that the CBO's analysis focused
only on the bill's effects on the federal budget, but not on
whether it would reduce national health care expenditures
overall.
This is an important distinction. It's easy to achieve deficit
reduction in a bill -- at least on paper -- if you simply raise
taxes by more than you increasing spending. Because the Finance
Committee bill raises taxes and promises cuts to Medicare that
may
never materialize, the CBO estimated that it would
reduce the deficit by $81 billion over 10 years. But that doesn't
mean it the CBO is saying it would decrease the overall amount
that the nation is spending on health care, lower the cost of
insurance premiums, or reduce health care spending as a
percentage of GDP.