The American Spectator

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Trey Grayson Narrowly Leads in Kentucky

By W. James Antle, III on 8.19.09 @ 11:34AM

To follow up on yesterday's polling results in the Kentucky Democratic and Republican primaries for Senate, there's also new data on head-to-head matchups between the potential nominees. Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson (R) beats Attorney General Jack Conway by 43 percent to 38 percent. He edges Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo (D) by 46 percent to 40 percent. Rand Paul, Grayson's closest Republican opponent, would lose to Conway by 43 percent to 38 percent. The younger Dr. Paul trails Mogniardo by just 43 percent to 41 percent, which is within the margin of error.

A few takeaways: Nobody is at or above 50 percent. The stronger Democrat in the primary is the weaker one in head-to-head matchups. And Rand Paul is polling competitively despite being a relatively unknown candidate, potentially making him the most viable bona fide Ron Paul Republican since his dad.