The AP is
reporting that a new estimate of the health care bill coming
out of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee
has a price tag of $600 billion, while covering 97 percent of
Americans -- a stark contrast from the $1 trillion estimate that
covered a smaller number of Americans. However, the story is
based on a letter from Ted Kennedy and Chris Dodd reporting the
CBO findings, but not any CBO report itself.
As liberal health care reporter Jonathan Cohn
acknowledges, the $600 billion number does not actually
include the expansion of Medicaid, which is expected to add about
20 million people to the program's rolls. Add that, Cohn writes,
and you're likely looking at a bill that costs $1 trillion to
$1.3 trillion over 10 years. He suggests that it will be deficit
neutral once you factor in proposed cuts to Medicare, other
savings, and tax increases.
The problem is, there's a big debate over how to raise revenue.
Obama's proposal to cap the charitable deduction on wealthy
Americans is not popular on the Hill, while the idea of taxing
employer benefits has drawn fire of unions. That said, I'm going
to reserve further comment until I can look at the actual CBO
findings.