Chris Cillizza
notes that in the 2010 Senate races, Democrats are once again
trying to use the strategy of tying Republican candidates to
former President Bush. Much of the article focuses on whether the
practice will get too old and whether Bush's popularity will
improve like other former presidents, but at the end of the day,
the effectiveness of such an approach will depend on how
Americans view President Obama. If Obama is still broadly
popular, the economy has improved, and things are relatively
stable on the foreign policy/national security front, then I
think Democrats will be able to run campaigns saying, "If you
like the way the country is heading now, then don't vote for
Republican X, because he wants to return to the old, failed Bush
policies." However, if Obama's popularity is starting to wane,
the economy is in turmoil, and/or there's a major international
crisis or national security incident, any Democrat who starts in
with the Bush bashing will just look desperate, like they're
trying to distract attention from the current administration's
problems.