Social Security is a tiny problem. Medicare is a terrible one,
but the problem is not really Medicare; it's quickly rising
health-care costs.
I see this via Tyler Cowen, who correctly
responds that, "if Medicare were less generous, much less
would be spent on health care."
A good demonstration of that point is to check out a pair of
studies by MIT economist Amy Finkelstein, who found that in the
first five years of Medicare's implementation, U.S. hospital
spending soared
37 percent without a
"discernible impact on elderly mortality." Medicare did
reduce the out of pocket medical expenses of the elderly, but the
result has been a massive burden on
the younger generation that is threatening to bankrupt our
country.
As it pertains to the current health care debate, there's an
argument to be had about what government's role is in providing
health care to Americans, but if we're going to have that debate,
it would be nice if the other side were honest about the costs of
what they're proposing. Simply put, providing subsidized health
care to everybody will not lower spending, it will drastically
increase spending unless the government rations care,
which the other side isn't willing to admit either.
I was chatting with a friend of mine about the entitlement crisis
the other day, and he compared Obama to Nero, fiddling while Rome
burns. But personally, I think we'd be better of with Nero --
Obama isn't fiddling, he's dousing everything with kerosene.
No one wants to talk costs anymore - it is too depressing. We
have nearly reached the end of the road from a financial point of
view. Yes, Obama and co. can ram about anything they wish through
Congress. I presume the attendent financial crisis (a plunging
dollar, inflation, and another round of equity sell-offs) will
give Obama another crisis in which he will impose draconian tax
hikes, more nationalizations of industry, and who knows what
else. Obama doesn't even know.
What is interesting (as well as heartening) is the smell of panic
slowly emerging from Obama's administration. The leaked memo
conerning the EPA and potential economic fall-out concerning
carbon taxes; an impasse in the Senate concerning Cap and Trade;
and an OMB paper admitting that 46 cents of every dollar the
goverment is spending is borrowed. I might even imagine that a
few Democrats are looking at the upcoming calendar with fear and
not exitement.
The President is demanding radical changes in energy policy and
health care. These are 2 areas where the effects would be
immediatly felt by taxpayers, and House Democrats would bear the
brunt of voters anger. The majority of the Democrats gains in the
House between 2006-2008 came in red districts. Pelosi could very
easily find herself a minority leader once again.
I can easily see a fight brewing over the healthcare debate, and
that debate will pit Dems against Obama. The GOP needs to be
patient. All they need to do is get the details of Obamacare out
to the voters. Like Hillary in 1993-94, healthcare could be
Obama's greatest weakness.
Becky| 5.14.09 @ 5:22PM
I think I am coming to grips with the reality that come hell or
high water, the party that won is determined to run us into the
ground, or at least the natural economic position of man-poverty.
Now I'd like to know what life is like in a bankrupt country, and
I think we are becoming bankrupt on all fronts, moral,
intellectual, financial and legal.
"As it pertains to the current health care debate, there's an
argument to be had about what government's role is in providing
health care to Americans"
From a constitutional standpoint, no there isn't. Absolutely
nothing in the Constitution authorizes Federal involvement in
health care. When the other side can show me the Article and
section then we will talk.
JP| 5.14.09 @ 4:51PM
No one wants to talk costs anymore - it is too depressing. We have nearly reached the end of the road from a financial point of view. Yes, Obama and co. can ram about anything they wish through Congress. I presume the attendent financial crisis (a plunging dollar, inflation, and another round of equity sell-offs) will give Obama another crisis in which he will impose draconian tax hikes, more nationalizations of industry, and who knows what else. Obama doesn't even know.
What is interesting (as well as heartening) is the smell of panic slowly emerging from Obama's administration. The leaked memo conerning the EPA and potential economic fall-out concerning carbon taxes; an impasse in the Senate concerning Cap and Trade; and an OMB paper admitting that 46 cents of every dollar the goverment is spending is borrowed. I might even imagine that a few Democrats are looking at the upcoming calendar with fear and not exitement.
The President is demanding radical changes in energy policy and health care. These are 2 areas where the effects would be immediatly felt by taxpayers, and House Democrats would bear the brunt of voters anger. The majority of the Democrats gains in the House between 2006-2008 came in red districts. Pelosi could very easily find herself a minority leader once again.
I can easily see a fight brewing over the healthcare debate, and that debate will pit Dems against Obama. The GOP needs to be patient. All they need to do is get the details of Obamacare out to the voters. Like Hillary in 1993-94, healthcare could be Obama's greatest weakness.
Becky| 5.14.09 @ 5:22PM
I think I am coming to grips with the reality that come hell or high water, the party that won is determined to run us into the ground, or at least the natural economic position of man-poverty.
Now I'd like to know what life is like in a bankrupt country, and I think we are becoming bankrupt on all fronts, moral, intellectual, financial and legal.
Red Phillips| 5.15.09 @ 9:10AM
"As it pertains to the current health care debate, there's an argument to be had about what government's role is in providing health care to Americans"
From a constitutional standpoint, no there isn't. Absolutely nothing in the Constitution authorizes Federal involvement in health care. When the other side can show me the Article and section then we will talk.
micky&vicky;| 9.4.09 @ 3:20AM
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