Matt Yglesias's
comment on a
debate between two economists (Brad DeLong and Tyler Cowen)
over the stimulus is surprisingly candid:
It always strikes me that the published versions of these
debates seem a bit too fastidious. As best I can tell, the real
dynamic of the debates here are that many people on the left
hope and many people on the right fear... a
lasting change in the policy environment. After all, when you
engage in some temporary deficit spending the deficit could be
temporary in two ways. The spending could vanish. Or taxes
could be raised. Progressives hope, and conservatives fear,
that much of the new deficit spending will prove popular and
anchor expectations about levels of federal services.
This hope/fear is extremely realistic. It seems very unlikely
to me that all of the American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act’s spending increases will actually be undone
when the legislation expires.
That gives people who think that overall levels of taxes and
spending should be lower strong reason to cast around
for reasons why stimulus is a bad idea. Were conservatives in
power and proposing stimulus via a temporary tax cut, I believe
most of the people
currently making fallacious arguments about Ricardian
Equivalence wouldn’t be doing so. They’d be saying to
themselves “even if this doesn’t work, it’ll probably lead to
lower tax rates over the long term so whatever.” Nobody likes
to believe that they’re just screwed, that the short-term
economic situation dictates letting the political opposition
unleash some of its long-treasured schemes.
Of course, the economists are debating about stimulus in general,
from an academic perspective. It's funny that Yglesias would
reduce the debate to the specific political implications of the
Obama stimulus -- no one needs to be reminded that it's an
attempt by the Democrats to take advantage of the short-term
turmoil to implement their long-term schemes. Aren't there
reasonable policy debates about whether in general short-term
monetary and fiscal policies can improve economies, regardless of
the underlying economic regime?
There are, but Yglesias's honest assessment of the matter at hand
seems to point to the fact that while the left does have useful
academics like DeLong giving intellectual justification for
short-term fiscal policy, the actual stimulus has very little to
do with improving short-term outcomes and a whole lot to do with
large-scale reengineering of the economy. I'm sure that
pro-market academic economists give their pro-stimulus opponents
the benefit of the doubt when they embrace massive stimulus
policies that otherwise seem cynically political. It's
interesting to see a liberal commentator arguing that there is
indeed a fair amount of cynicism involved in the left's approach,
and that the real game, even in friendly debates like the one
between DeLong and Cowen, isn't about curing the economy at all.
…Matt Yglesias’s comment on a debate between two economists (Brad DeLong and Tyler Cowen) over the stimulus is surprisingly candid: It always strikes me that the published versions… → Read full article… An Academic Exercise Tagged as: Academic Exercise, Brad Delong, Economists, Matt Yglesias, Stimulus, Tyler Cowen { 0 comments… add one now } Leave a Comment Name * E-mail * Website You can use…
Roy| 4.9.09 @ 1:15AM
I actually think people DO need to be reminded. IF the situation
were reversed Democrats would have been all over the papers,
airwaves and Internet demanding that Republicans disavow any
intent to use the stimulus for long term goals. Republicans would
be bending over backward to assure everyone they weren't doing
that. Just doesn't seem like Repubs can manage that kind of
operation.
Pingback| 4.8.09 @ 3:20PM
An Academic Exercise — But As For Me links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Roy| 4.9.09 @ 1:15AM
I actually think people DO need to be reminded. IF the situation were reversed Democrats would have been all over the papers, airwaves and Internet demanding that Republicans disavow any intent to use the stimulus for long term goals. Republicans would be bending over backward to assure everyone they weren't doing that. Just doesn't seem like Repubs can manage that kind of operation.
e-cigarettes| 1.7.10 @ 10:47AM
Wonderful article. I liked it. Thanks for sharing.
e-cigarette starter kits