The Republicans' alternative budget contains more good policy
ideas and fewer bad policy ideas than President Obama's budget.
While I agree with every point Phil has made, I'll wait to see
how it is scored before I offer a detailed critique or qualified
defense. But let's look at the whole concept of a Republican
budget proposal in historical perspective.
An alternative budget offered by a minority party almost by
definition will not pass. So the party proposing the alternative
budget faces two challenges. The first is to present a spending
blueprint that offers a clear and compelling contrast to the
president's vision, forming the basis of future policymaking when
the party returns to power. That's hard enough. But you have to
do that while also meeting the second challenge: Crafting the
budget so that you don't put your party on record voting for some
easily distorted provision that will go unenacted. Budget cuts
are often most politically damaging to the party that supports
them when they don't pass.
When the spending cuts are actually imposed, people get to see
that the economy did not go south and their Social Security
checks kept coming. When the spending cuts are debated, voted on,
and defeated, there is no real-world corrective to the hysterical
projections of starving babies and deepening poverty. There is
just a vote standing in isolation that makes good fodder for
television ads. This sometimes even happens to the majority party
-- remember the Medicare gambit of the Gingrich Congress in 1995.
In 1993, Republicans faced these challenges. They needed to come
up with a budet that dealt seriously with the deficit without
raising taxes as Bill Clinton proposed to do. The House
Republicans mostly united around John Kasich's "Cutting Spending
First" plan (a nice play on the Clintonian "Putting People
First"). It contained some controversial provisions, like raising
the retirement age for some federal employees, but mostly avoided
a full frontal assault on entitlement. Nevertheless, it offered
serious spending cuts and block-grant reforms of means-tested
programs that later became part of the GOP platform. And it
offered $450 billion in deficit reduction without tax hikes.
So serious was Cutting Spending First that the Clinton
administration often pretended the alternative did not exist.
They continued to claim that Republicans hadn't proposed any
spending cuts. When challenged, White House spokeswoman Dee Dee
Myers said it didn't count as the Republican alternative because
not all Republicans supported it. The House GOP leadership, then
including Bob Michel, did support it, and so did 80 percent of
House Republicans on the floor.
Even a decent alternative budget won't pass and won't silence the
president's barbs about Republicans having a "short memory." But
a solid alternative did help give the Republicans something to
run on in 1994 and a contrast with the Clinton administration,
which was offering a tax increase many Americans didn't want.