The always-astute Michael Barone
explains why it was NOT deregulation that caused today's
financial problems. As a sidelight (tooting my own horn), I would
note, interestingly enough, this sentence from Barone's piece:
"Taylor writes that the financial crisis first became evident in
August 9 and 10, 2007, when the spread between Libor interest
rates and the three-month overnight index swap widened hugely."
That happens to be EXACTLY the time when i first started my
regular warnings that monetary policy had baked stagflation into
the cake. See this
from Aug. 8, 2007, my very first blog post on the subject. Two
blog posts later, this.
A few minutes later, I even more
explicitly tied the problems to the housing market. The next
morning I was back at
it, this time noting the LIBOR spread that Barone talks
about. This kept on for a while in my blog
posts, until finally I started
writing full
columns on the subject. My main reason to bring all this up
is not to say I understood all of it then (I didn't even know
then what a credit default swap was), but to say that one day
before eveything started going haywire publicly (as ID'd by
Barone), I had picked up on it and already said that the
psychological panic response was the absolutely key thing to
avoid, and that the Fed was inept at understanding that
psychology. In short, I continue to assert that the Fed bears a
large part of the blame not just for long-ago actions in
2002-2005, but all the way through this whole decade right up
until now.
The mistake is to restrict your Fed blame to this decade. The
original destabilization was the dot-com bubble, which stock
market mania put 1929 entirely into the shade and has caused
chaos ever since.
That was started by Greenspan changing monetary policy in early
'95, and expanding broad money 70% faster than nominal GDP for 13
years, 1995-2008. Almost certainly the lovely Ms Mitchell and his
wish to be in with her friends the Clintons were to blame for his
abandonment of everything he had previously believed.
You don't HAVE to have a Gold Standard, but if you don't have one
a Paul Volcker is essential.
Martin| 3.11.09 @ 6:43PM
The mistake is to restrict your Fed blame to this decade. The original destabilization was the dot-com bubble, which stock market mania put 1929 entirely into the shade and has caused chaos ever since.
That was started by Greenspan changing monetary policy in early '95, and expanding broad money 70% faster than nominal GDP for 13 years, 1995-2008. Almost certainly the lovely Ms Mitchell and his wish to be in with her friends the Clintons were to blame for his abandonment of everything he had previously believed.
You don't HAVE to have a Gold Standard, but if you don't have one a Paul Volcker is essential.