Ramesh Ponnuru
writes that the politics of the Employee Free Choice Act
"don't seem all that complex" and Arlen Specter's "own political
interests counsel opposition to EFCA." In the Republican primary,
that's certainly true but the politics of EFCA are more complex
for Specter than most other Republicans. Specter typically enjoys
union support -- that is, the backing of union leaders, not just
the rank-and-file -- in general elections. The AFL-CIO, AFSCME,
the American Federal Government Employees Union, the American
Federation of Teachers, the International Brotherhood of
Electrical Workers -- all these unions and more endorsed Specter
in 2004.
Specter's political interests in the Republican primary suggest
that he should join the rest of his party in voting against card
check, as he now seems open to doing. But that level of union
support can be helpful come November in a state like
Pennsylvania, and it might not be forthcoming against a pro-EFCA
Democrat unless Specter toes the line.
Without a doubt Arlen "the Weak" Specter will vote for the
unions.
BD57| 3.10.09 @ 10:17PM
Mr. Antle:
Do you think a vote for "Card Check" would get Specter that
support in 2010 ?
I have my doubts. Right now, I think the unions will be more
interested in growing the Democrat caucus - Specter's past
support won't outweigh the benefits they could reap by getting a
filibuster-proof Senate.
james23| 3.10.09 @ 11:07PM
Card Check puts Specter in a very difficult spot. If he votes for
it again, as he has in the past, he will be blown out in a GOP
primary. If he votes against it, he loses his base, the Philly
unions, without whose financial and electoral support he cannot
win a general.
the only workable strategy for him is to switch parties and then
go ahead and vote again for Card Check. Everybody's happy.
Gino| 3.10.09 @ 6:54PM
Without a doubt Arlen "the Weak" Specter will vote for the unions.
BD57| 3.10.09 @ 10:17PM
Mr. Antle:
Do you think a vote for "Card Check" would get Specter that support in 2010 ?
I have my doubts. Right now, I think the unions will be more interested in growing the Democrat caucus - Specter's past support won't outweigh the benefits they could reap by getting a filibuster-proof Senate.
james23| 3.10.09 @ 11:07PM
Card Check puts Specter in a very difficult spot. If he votes for it again, as he has in the past, he will be blown out in a GOP primary. If he votes against it, he loses his base, the Philly unions, without whose financial and electoral support he cannot win a general.
the only workable strategy for him is to switch parties and then go ahead and vote again for Card Check. Everybody's happy.