Not only is this
barrel full of tax cuts proposed by the Republican Study
Committee pretty bad stimulus, but to even call a package of
permanent tax cuts a “alternative stimulus” is a
serious abuse of the term. The idea of a stimulus measure is
that you increase the budget deficit over the short-term to try
to get the economy back to something like a full employment of
available resources. But a permanent increase in the
deficit extends, by definition, into non-recessionary periods
in which such deficits operate as a drag on growth.
I haven't studied the RSC proposal closely enough to comment on
the details, but Yglesias's theoretical argument is way off base.
For one thing, as Peter Ferarra noted
on our main site last week:
Tax cuts stimulate the economy when they involve reductions in
tax rates. The reduction in rates improves incentives for
savings, investment, business creation and expansion, job
creation, entrepreneurship, and work, by allowing people to
keep a greater percentage of the reward produced by these
activities. This improves the economy not just by the dollar
amount of the tax cut. The improved incentives affect every
economic decision and every dollar in the entire economy. The
astoundingly successful Reagan tax cuts in the 1980s, as well
as the astoundingly successful Kennedy tax cuts of the 1960s,
were both based on reducing tax rates, and were successful for
these reasons.
By making tax cuts permanent, it allows individuals and
businesses to make longer-term decisions.
But overall, the problem with Yglesias's argument is that it
defines "stimulus" only in narrow Keynesian deficit spending
terms -- i.e. providing a short term boost -- rather than taking
a broader view of what type of policies are compatible with
longer term economic growth.
sidnee| 12.12.09 @ 11:42AM
jack wills
ugg new arrivals