Some conservatives have been touting a
payroll tax holiday as an alternative to the Democrats'
fiscal stimulus plan. Suspending the payroll tax for 2009 would
increase workers' disposable incomes while reducing a tax on
hiring and retaining workers for employers. It would be a
progressive tax cut. Any payroll tax relief is politically
vulnerable to complaints about diverting revenue from Social
Security, like personal accounts except without any compensating
effort to deal with the long-term unfunded liabilities of the
system, but both the payroll tax and the Social Security/Medicare
trust funds are accounting fictions.
This would be preferable to Obama's massive new spending on
projects of varying degrees of merit. But it would likely
increase government borrowing and might otherwise fall into the
stimulus trap
noted by economist Tyler Cowen:
The biggest problem with a fiscal stimulus is this: our
economic problems stem from having spent too much in the first
place. Now that our homes are no longer rising in value every
year and America is aging, more saving is in order, not more
spending. Recovery will come only when we discover which new
and valuable things the economy should produce as it shifts out
of real estate and finance. Simply borrowing and doling out
more cash doesn't solve that problem.
A payroll tax holiday is a politically attractive alternative to
a warmed-over New Deal, and in many ways an economically
attractive one too. But the borrow-and-spend holiday from history
needs to end too.
sidnee| 12.12.09 @ 11:50AM
jack wills
ugg new arrivals