With Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White starting to
distance himself from his refusal to sign the certificate of
appointment, with Senate Democrats starting to
splinter, with key members of the Congressional Black Caucus
calling for Burris to be seated, and with Harry Reid making
conciliatory noises after their meeting, I'd say the odds are
heavily in favor of Roland Burris becoming the next U.S. senator
from Illinois.
How did Rod Blagojevich manage this? He knew that if he picked a
respected black politician, there was virtually no way that the
Senate Democratic leadership could stand by its refusal to seat a
senator he appointed. By bringing in Bobby Rush and making the
race issue explicit, he pretty much sealed the deal. Burris was a
perfect choice -- credentialed and respectable enough to be a
plausible candidate, desperate enough to take a Blagojevich
appointment (Burris has lost races for governor, senator, and
mayor of Chicago and is now 71). Burris's decision to take a high
media profile while confidently asserting that the law is on his
side has also helped move momentum in his direction.
Although things could still change and Reid might find a way to
keep Burris from serving as a voting senator for the next two
years, it looks like Blago won this round. He didn't get any
obvious financial reward, but he proved that he still held the
powers of the governor's office and forced the ball in his
detractors' court. In other words, he didn't just f--king give
the Senate seat away for nothing. It's a very valuable thing.