As I
noted when I returned from a trip to Israel last month, any
peace process between the Israelis and Palestinians is hopeless
as long as Hamas remains in control of Gaza and continues its
rocket attacks on Israeli civilians. It was only a matter of time
before Israel took the perfectly justifiable actions it has been
taking over the past few days to neutralize the rocket fire from
Hamas and like-minded terrorist groups.
But over the next few days and weeks, there are a number of key
questions to consider.
The most crucial is how effective Israel's military operation is
in weakening the terrorists' rocket-launching capability. In
2006, after weeks of bombing and inept leadership by Ehud Olmert
and then-Defense Minister Amir Peretz, Israel failed to
accomplish much in its actions against Hezbollah in southern
Lebanon. Israeli military officials have spent the last few years
trying to fix what went wrong during that operation. One of the
problems was that the Israeli military had been repurposed toward
the type of fighting required in the West Bank during the Second
Intifada in the early part of the decade, and wasn't as
adequately prepared for a conflict with Hezbollah. So, when all
of the smoke clears in Gaza, the Israelis will have to assess
whether their government and military did in fact learn a lot
from the mistakes of the Lebanon War. Haaretzreported this
morning that Israeli air strikes killed four members of Islamic
Jihad, including its senior commander. The paper also noted that,
"[t]he strikes have driven Hamas leaders into hiding and appear
to have gravely damaged the organization's ability to launch
rockets, but barrages continued. Sirens warning of incoming
rockets sent Israelis scrambling for cover throughout the day."
If Israel is able to severely weaken Hamas, it actually would do
more than anything to create the conditions in which peace would
be possible between the Israelis and the Palestinians.
The other important question is how the operation will affect
Israeli elections scheduled for February. If the Kadima
government is able to orchestrate a successful military
operation, than it could boost the party's chances in the
elections, and help Tzipi Livni become the new prime minister.
If, however, it's another bungled operation, it would strengthen
the hand of the Benyamin Netanyahu-lead Likud. Either way, the
conflict could strengthen his chances by bolstering his central
argument that the peace process is not currently realistic.
Hamas, which receives backing from Iran along with Hezbollah, is
seen as one of Iran's means of retaliating in the event of an
Israeli attack on its nuclear facilities. This was clearly
another calculation in Israel's Gaza operation, and it should be
interesting to monitor how Iran reacts to these events.
Iranian hard-line clerics are
signing up volunteers to fight in Gaza and supreme leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
declared that, "All true believers in the world of Islam and
Palestinian fighters are duty-bound to defend the defenseless
women and children in Gaza Strip, and those giving their lives in
carrying out such a divine duty are martyrs."
It will also be interesting to watch how the Gaza operation
affects the internal Palestinian conflict between Hamas and
Fatah. The two groups were poised for a
confrontation on January 9, when Hamas argues that
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas's term ends -- a view
rejected by Abbas and his allies.
And of course, this will be an early test for the Obama
administration. How will he react when he can no longer hide
behind saying
that "there is only one president at a time"?
I know how this ends
************
Isaiah 28:14 Therefore, listen to the Lord’s word,
you who mock,
you rulers of these people
who reside in Jerusalem!
For you say,
“We have made a treaty with death,
with Sheol we have made an agreement.
When the overwhelming judgment sweeps by
it will not reach us.
For we have made a lie our refuge,
we have hidden ourselves in a deceitful word.”
...
Your treaty with death will be dissolved;
your agreement with Sheol will not last.
When the overwhelming judgment sweeps by,
you will be overrun by it.
***************
Zechariah 14:1 A day of the Lord is about to come when your
possessions2 will be divided as plunder in your midst. For I will
gather all the nations against Jerusalem to wage war; the city
will be taken, its houses plundered, and the women raped. Then
half of the city will go into exile, but the remainder of the
people will not be taken away.
Then the Lord will go to battle and fight against those nations,
just as he fought battles in ancient days
================
So there's my crazy religious beliefs... Putting on my real-world
hat... its obvious the Palestinians dont want peace. They have
been raising their children to be suicide killers since the Oslo
treaty.
THe longer this sore festers the more endangered hte world will
become. Nations like Iran use this situatition in advance of
thier dark cause.
After years of watching this and thinking about it, I've come to
the conclusion that nothing short of overwhelming and crushing
military victory will quiet Gaza.
If Israel does not fight, if Israel permits this to continue on,
then the Bible verses will come true.. because making treaties
with people governed by the Koran is suicide and nothing short of
God's help will allow you to survive.
Roy| 12.29.08 @ 6:39PM
Truth be told, I don't think this goes far enough.
I don't want to see them massacre the Palestinian people, but the
Palestinians did, in fact, elect these clowns. The separation
between the government and the people argument has gone far
enough.
Now that Hamas is an elected government, they are actually
accountable for preventing collective pain to the Palestinian
people - the type of thing great powers did to each other in the
past, before the age of all out conquest and regime change.
Israel should take measures directly aimed at the Palestinian
people, without apology, eg embargoes, destruction of economic
assets, etc etc. When the caterwauling starts they should
endlessly repeat one simple fact - you elected these guys.
VinceP1974| 12.29.08 @ 1:00PM
I know how this ends
************
Isaiah 28:14 Therefore, listen to the Lord’s word,
you who mock,
you rulers of these people
who reside in Jerusalem!
For you say,
“We have made a treaty with death,
with Sheol we have made an agreement.
When the overwhelming judgment sweeps by
it will not reach us.
For we have made a lie our refuge,
we have hidden ourselves in a deceitful word.”
...
Your treaty with death will be dissolved;
your agreement with Sheol will not last.
When the overwhelming judgment sweeps by,
you will be overrun by it.
***************
Zechariah 14:1 A day of the Lord is about to come when your possessions2 will be divided as plunder in your midst. For I will gather all the nations against Jerusalem to wage war; the city will be taken, its houses plundered, and the women raped. Then half of the city will go into exile, but the remainder of the people will not be taken away.
Then the Lord will go to battle and fight against those nations, just as he fought battles in ancient days
================
So there's my crazy religious beliefs... Putting on my real-world hat... its obvious the Palestinians dont want peace. They have been raising their children to be suicide killers since the Oslo treaty.
THe longer this sore festers the more endangered hte world will become. Nations like Iran use this situatition in advance of thier dark cause.
After years of watching this and thinking about it, I've come to the conclusion that nothing short of overwhelming and crushing military victory will quiet Gaza.
If Israel does not fight, if Israel permits this to continue on, then the Bible verses will come true.. because making treaties with people governed by the Koran is suicide and nothing short of God's help will allow you to survive.
Roy| 12.29.08 @ 6:39PM
Truth be told, I don't think this goes far enough.
I don't want to see them massacre the Palestinian people, but the Palestinians did, in fact, elect these clowns. The separation between the government and the people argument has gone far enough.
Now that Hamas is an elected government, they are actually accountable for preventing collective pain to the Palestinian people - the type of thing great powers did to each other in the past, before the age of all out conquest and regime change.
Israel should take measures directly aimed at the Palestinian people, without apology, eg embargoes, destruction of economic assets, etc etc. When the caterwauling starts they should endlessly repeat one simple fact - you elected these guys.
Muslims Against Sharia| 12.29.08 @ 6:46PM
Hypocrisy in Action: Where were Egypt, Russia, OIC, EU, Britain, Sarkozy, US & Austria when Hamas was pounding Israel with daily barrage of rockets?
http://muslimsagainstsharia.blogspot.com/2008/12/hypocrisy-in-action.html
"Innocent Civilian" Hamas Terrorists Killed by Israeli Airstrikes
http://muslimsagainstsharia.blogspot.com/2008/12/innocent-civilian-hamas-terrorists.html