is really starting to take hold for many Minnesotans right about
now. For what I believe is the first time this election, Team
Franken is actually predicting a win by a pretty specific amount
of votes, between 35-50. Before, they were just saying they would
win because that's what campaigns do. Now, they're
acting, at least, pretty sure about this (though of
course it's not final and Coleman is still claiming victory too).
Allahpundit at
Hot Air:
How can Franken predict victory when there are still 5,000
withdrawn challenges to count? Because: (a) the Star-Tribune's
readers have been looking at and voting on those challenges for
weeks and their polling puts him 40 votes ahead when all's said
and done; and (b) per Nate Silver's latest analysis, Team
Franken's signaled in the past that it knows there aren't
enough Coleman votes in its own withdrawn challenges to put
Coleman over the top. (If that sounds confusing, read Silver
and it'll make sense.)
Nate Silver has all the nitty gritty details
here.