In analyzing Sen. Saxby Chambliss'
impressive victory in Georgia -- he defeated Democrat Jim
Martin by
more than 300,000 votes in Tuesday's runoff -- it is
important to understand where that Republican margin comes from.
While liberals will try to explain Martin's defeat as a product
of retrograde rural backlash, the decisive factor for Chambliss
was his large margins in the prosperous, fast-growing suburban
and exurban counties around Atlanta.
As usual for Republicans in Georgia, Chambliss piled up huge
margins in the mega-suburban counties of Cobb and Gwinnett,
beating Martin by nearly 50,000 votes in each. But Chambliss also
piled up a combined margin of nearly 150,000 votes in nine "outer
ring" exurban counties. Here are those counties, showing
Chambliss' margin and each county's population growth rate (April
2000-July 2006) according to the Census Bureau:
County... Margin...Growth
Barrow......7,184.......38.1%
Bartow.....10,948.....20.1%
Carroll.......6,642......23.0%
Cherokee...33,274......37.6%
Coweta......15,002......29.2%
Forsyth......30,624.....53.4%
Hall...........20,625.....24.4%
Paulding
....12,795.....48.9%
Walton.......12,681....30.8%
Please note that the margins are based on results available at 8
a.m., when 97% of precincts statewide were reporting, and the
vote is not complete in all counties.
(Cross-posted at The
Other McCain.)