Those who fault "deregulation," "unfettered capitalism," or
"greed" would do well to look instead at flawed institutions
and misguided policies.
The expansion in risky mortgages to underqualified borrowers
was encouraged by the federal government. The growth of
"creative" nonprime lending followed Congress's strengthening
of the Community Reinvestment Act, the Federal Housing
Administration's loosening of down-payment standards, and the
Department of Housing and Urban Development's pressuring
lenders to extend mortgages to borrowers who previously would
not have qualified.
Meanwhile, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae grew to own or guarantee
about half of the United States' $12 trillion mortgage market.
Congressional leaders pointedly refused to moderate the moral
hazard problem of implicit guarantees or otherwise rein in
their hyperexpansion, instead pushing them to promote
"affordable housing" through expanded purchases of nonprime
loans to low income applicants.
The credit that fueled these risky mortgages was provided by
the cheap money policy of the Federal Reserve. Following the
2001 recession, Fed chairman Alan Greenspan slashed the federal
funds rate from 6.25 to 1.75 percent. It was reduced further in
2002 and 2003, reaching a record low of 1 percent in mid-2003 -
where it stayed for a year. This set off what economist Steve
Hanke called "the mother of all liquidity cycles and yet
another massive demand bubble."
In allocating the blame for the financial crisis between private
versus public incompetence &/or malfeasance, does it have to
be a binary either/or answer? Can't it be both? Admittedly, if
both the public & private sector are to blame, the problem is
much more deep rooted & difficult to address.
Mary| 11.24.08 @ 12:55PM
I wish you would write a piece on how free-market and capitalism
differ, if they do.
I'm woefully ignorant as it pertains to the study of economics.
I only know these three things: if you watch your pennies, your
dollars will take care of themselves. Whatever you subsidize
you're going to get more of. To not pay back one's debts is
immoral, and should cause you to be eaten away by shame so that
you must hide your face and conceal your name from society. (I'm
a very well-bred peasant!) ;)
But, it would be great to get some posts that educate.
Tangentially, I scored an 88% on the Civics quiz that Mr. Lawler
linked to. Public High School graduate - 1974. Congruent tangent
(is that possible?) Why is it some kind of news that government
run health care would just about kill conservatism? Talk about
stating the obvious.
Please keep the government "out of my bedroom" but place it
firmly between the doctor in the examining room and me?
Quo Vadis?
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 1:28PM
RSM, this shows you have little understanding concerning
economics -- something I would expect from an admitted
"anti-intellectual".
The underlying fundamental at the base of this problem was the
belief that housing prices would continue to rise significantly
over time. This implied that if one could not afford the mortgage
they had, the home could be foreclosed and the lending
institution would not lose much money. This false "truth" led to
several events. Mortgages were securitized into highly rated
tranches which started to occur in the early 80's. The rating
agencies rated these high because of the original housing value
belief. Then Congress, and specifically the Democrats, pushed
down housing to those who could not afford it as the financial
risk to lending institutions was believed to be low. Wall street,
seeing highly rated securities that did not need much capital to
back it up (because of the housing price base), sold these as
high return, low risk securities. The rating agencies continued
to rate them highly since housing prices continued to rise. Then,
derivatives were created to leverage specific segments of these
CDO's. The Fed surely backed this up with low interest rates.
Specialized lending companies like Beneficial and Household then
marketed sub-prime mortgages to low income, low information
consumers on the basis of monthly mortgage payments and not
future payments. Again, if housing prices held, this was not seen
as a risk. Fannie and Freddie were not in sub-prime much but they
did support 100 and 125 as well as ARM's. Since housing prices
were seen as continually rising, people did not see the risk.
The fundamentals of markets and lending were forgotten and greed
certainly played a role. But the big problem was that there was a
housing bubble and it burst and since that house of cards had no
capital to back it up, it fell apart in record time. In effect,
it was a Ponzi scheme.
This is a simplified view, but to blame it on just the regulation
or on greed is both wrong and too simplistic. The fact is that
the right type of regulation is needed as long as it is measured
and not overdone. There should have been capital requirements and
the economists should have warned about bubbles. However, those
on Wall Street were making good money and most highly paid
economists worked on Wall Street.
What you should be talking about here, rather than
anti-intellectualism and blame, is that true conservative
principles could have helped. However, the Republican party was
all caught up on social, rather than fiscal issues. This is,
again, one of the reasons I continue to rail against social
conservatives in favor of fiscal conservatives with an element of
libertarianism.
Michael Roush| 11.24.08 @ 1:38PM
While it is true that Democrats pushed hard to make mortgage
money available to those who previously did not qualify, one
should review the tenants of President Bush's "ownership society"
viz housing. We had a bi-partisan effort here. A simple web
search of Phi Gramm's work in the House before he decamped for
the private sector will certainly reinforce most people's belief
that deregulation was a major contributor to the current
financial meltdown. As for greed, one could argue that it
replaced fiduciary responsibility in large segments of the
banking sector.
Crusader| 11.24.08 @ 2:44PM
Bob, I didn't think you could work social cons into this answer,
but it seems there is nary a problem that you CAN'T somehow blame
on those evil social conservatives! Now we're getting blamed for
people buying more house than they can afford? Wow.
The Republican party was caught up on social issues? Hmmmm. So
did McCain suspend his campaign in mid-Sep to tackle the tough
issues like abortion or gay marriage? Geez man exactly what
planet are you living on? Better yet what is it you are smoking?
Social issues were barely touched, if at all.
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 3:00PM
Crusader, I see you missed the point. Social conservatives limit
who can be an elected Republican. Therefore, we end up with
anti-intellectual candidates who wouldn't know good economics if
it were written in the bible.
McCain would not have chosen that loser, Palin, if his campaign
were not caught up on social issues. He would have chosen,
Romney, Ridge, or even Lieberman (which was his first choice). So
social issues did not have to be discussed because they were
evident.
W. James Antle III| 11.24.08 @ 4:14PM
Get rid of social conservatives and you really limit who can be
elected as a Republican -- to almost zero, at the national level.
The party would be reduced to its Rockefellerite rump.
As a candidate, Romney talked more about social issues and
targeted social conservatives more than McCain. And neither Ridge
nor Lieberman are known for their economic expertise.
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 6:23PM
Antle, thanks for the thoughtful response, it is rare here. There
is a difference between getting rid of social conservatives and
letting them have veto power over the entire party. My problem is
that your opinion that "We can't win without them" is making the
Republican party whither away. We can agree that abortions should
be reduced and decency is important to our society, but taking
that position to the extreme is alienating independents. Extremes
always alienate the center.
Regarding Romney, Ridge, and Lieberman, I agree with your
statement. That's why I supported Romney. The fact that he was a
social conservative did not bother me as his behavior in the
past, especially as Governor of MA, was pragmatic. Like Reagan,
he would not have forced his personal beliefs on the rest of us.
Jason Smee| 11.24.08 @ 9:48PM
All I have to say is the anti intellectual nature of some social
conservatives is sickening and not only drives the party into the
ground, but the country as well. The writers of the spectator
show they firmly have no understanding of economics. This mess
was created by a combination of a number of things including
greed, ignorance, stupidity, corruption, regulation (both too
much and too little) on the part of Wall Street, Mortgage
Bankers, Rating Agencies, members of both political parties,
foreign central banks and their respective governments,
shareholders, and most importantly the American consumer, not
merely one factor or another. While congress / Clinton / Bush
might have enabled the start of subprime lending, it was the
greed and ignorance of all parties involved that kept it going
forward. The problem isn't only limited to the inner cities but
extends to the mega church attending residents of the exurbs and
other residents of "real america" that thought it was their
constitutional right for the granite/stainless/plasmas/2 oversize
suvs that are at the heart of this problem. America, we're in a
real mess here, and thank god the idiots Palin/McCain didn't end
up in the white house (unfortunately I voted for them). Neither
one has the intellectual capacity to deal with this (nor do any
of the contributors to this publication) mess (demonstrated by
lack of discussion about economics at the RNC, poor math of Joe
the Plumber, Palin's remark that it's not our fault someone
convinced us to buy a house we couldn't afford, etc.....). Then
again what would you expect from someone who graduated at the
bottom of their class and a community college hopper.
Roy| 11.25.08 @ 4:21AM
I really have never quite understood how "greed" was supposed to
lead to libertarianism.
We can squabble over whether the free economy, in which you keep
the fruits of your labors, is better than the socialist economy,
in which all wealth is put in a pot and distributed evenly by all
wise bureaucrats.
What should not need to be squabbled over is that, based on sheer
"greed" alone, the "me' economy beats the crap out of either. The
way that works is that all the wealth in the economy is put into
one big pot and distributed to me.
Of course - this is difficult to enforce, but if I can put
together a special interest including me and some other group and
convince everybody to pay us off - why not? based on "greed"
anyway. Judging by the election results, a whole hell of a lot of
Americans think this way.
The fact is that libertarianism is a moral principle, and
sometimes one that requires a good deal of material sacrifice. I
know libertarians don't like to think that, but it is true. You
can justify the free economy as a particular case of the
God-given right to freedom. You can justify it as the best thing
for the community as a whole. What you can't do is justify it to
every particular individual as his best choice, based on "greed".
As far as the leftoids blathering on about how they are oh-so
"intellectual" - the emperor not only has no clothes, but he
really needs to hit the gym.
Karl| 12.28.08 @ 1:56AM
How exciting, the death of capitalism. Who in the Kremlin said
there was no God? There is a God, and when USA collapses into the
cesspool it truly is, the world will celebrate the end of USA
adagioforstrings| 11.24.08 @ 12:03PM
In allocating the blame for the financial crisis between private versus public incompetence &/or malfeasance, does it have to be a binary either/or answer? Can't it be both? Admittedly, if both the public & private sector are to blame, the problem is much more deep rooted & difficult to address.
Mary| 11.24.08 @ 12:55PM
I wish you would write a piece on how free-market and capitalism differ, if they do.
I'm woefully ignorant as it pertains to the study of economics.
I only know these three things: if you watch your pennies, your dollars will take care of themselves. Whatever you subsidize you're going to get more of. To not pay back one's debts is immoral, and should cause you to be eaten away by shame so that you must hide your face and conceal your name from society. (I'm a very well-bred peasant!) ;)
But, it would be great to get some posts that educate. Tangentially, I scored an 88% on the Civics quiz that Mr. Lawler linked to. Public High School graduate - 1974. Congruent tangent (is that possible?) Why is it some kind of news that government run health care would just about kill conservatism? Talk about stating the obvious.
Please keep the government "out of my bedroom" but place it firmly between the doctor in the examining room and me?
Quo Vadis?
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 1:28PM
RSM, this shows you have little understanding concerning economics -- something I would expect from an admitted "anti-intellectual".
The underlying fundamental at the base of this problem was the belief that housing prices would continue to rise significantly over time. This implied that if one could not afford the mortgage they had, the home could be foreclosed and the lending institution would not lose much money. This false "truth" led to several events. Mortgages were securitized into highly rated tranches which started to occur in the early 80's. The rating agencies rated these high because of the original housing value belief. Then Congress, and specifically the Democrats, pushed down housing to those who could not afford it as the financial risk to lending institutions was believed to be low. Wall street, seeing highly rated securities that did not need much capital to back it up (because of the housing price base), sold these as high return, low risk securities. The rating agencies continued to rate them highly since housing prices continued to rise. Then, derivatives were created to leverage specific segments of these CDO's. The Fed surely backed this up with low interest rates. Specialized lending companies like Beneficial and Household then marketed sub-prime mortgages to low income, low information consumers on the basis of monthly mortgage payments and not future payments. Again, if housing prices held, this was not seen as a risk. Fannie and Freddie were not in sub-prime much but they did support 100 and 125 as well as ARM's. Since housing prices were seen as continually rising, people did not see the risk.
The fundamentals of markets and lending were forgotten and greed certainly played a role. But the big problem was that there was a housing bubble and it burst and since that house of cards had no capital to back it up, it fell apart in record time. In effect, it was a Ponzi scheme.
This is a simplified view, but to blame it on just the regulation or on greed is both wrong and too simplistic. The fact is that the right type of regulation is needed as long as it is measured and not overdone. There should have been capital requirements and the economists should have warned about bubbles. However, those on Wall Street were making good money and most highly paid economists worked on Wall Street.
What you should be talking about here, rather than anti-intellectualism and blame, is that true conservative principles could have helped. However, the Republican party was all caught up on social, rather than fiscal issues. This is, again, one of the reasons I continue to rail against social conservatives in favor of fiscal conservatives with an element of libertarianism.
Michael Roush| 11.24.08 @ 1:38PM
While it is true that Democrats pushed hard to make mortgage money available to those who previously did not qualify, one should review the tenants of President Bush's "ownership society" viz housing. We had a bi-partisan effort here. A simple web search of Phi Gramm's work in the House before he decamped for the private sector will certainly reinforce most people's belief that deregulation was a major contributor to the current financial meltdown. As for greed, one could argue that it replaced fiduciary responsibility in large segments of the banking sector.
Crusader| 11.24.08 @ 2:44PM
Bob, I didn't think you could work social cons into this answer, but it seems there is nary a problem that you CAN'T somehow blame on those evil social conservatives! Now we're getting blamed for people buying more house than they can afford? Wow.
The Republican party was caught up on social issues? Hmmmm. So did McCain suspend his campaign in mid-Sep to tackle the tough issues like abortion or gay marriage? Geez man exactly what planet are you living on? Better yet what is it you are smoking? Social issues were barely touched, if at all.
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 3:00PM
Crusader, I see you missed the point. Social conservatives limit who can be an elected Republican. Therefore, we end up with anti-intellectual candidates who wouldn't know good economics if it were written in the bible.
McCain would not have chosen that loser, Palin, if his campaign were not caught up on social issues. He would have chosen, Romney, Ridge, or even Lieberman (which was his first choice). So social issues did not have to be discussed because they were evident.
W. James Antle III| 11.24.08 @ 4:14PM
Get rid of social conservatives and you really limit who can be elected as a Republican -- to almost zero, at the national level. The party would be reduced to its Rockefellerite rump.
As a candidate, Romney talked more about social issues and targeted social conservatives more than McCain. And neither Ridge nor Lieberman are known for their economic expertise.
Bob| 11.24.08 @ 6:23PM
Antle, thanks for the thoughtful response, it is rare here. There is a difference between getting rid of social conservatives and letting them have veto power over the entire party. My problem is that your opinion that "We can't win without them" is making the Republican party whither away. We can agree that abortions should be reduced and decency is important to our society, but taking that position to the extreme is alienating independents. Extremes always alienate the center.
Regarding Romney, Ridge, and Lieberman, I agree with your statement. That's why I supported Romney. The fact that he was a social conservative did not bother me as his behavior in the past, especially as Governor of MA, was pragmatic. Like Reagan, he would not have forced his personal beliefs on the rest of us.
Jason Smee| 11.24.08 @ 9:48PM
All I have to say is the anti intellectual nature of some social conservatives is sickening and not only drives the party into the ground, but the country as well. The writers of the spectator show they firmly have no understanding of economics. This mess was created by a combination of a number of things including greed, ignorance, stupidity, corruption, regulation (both too much and too little) on the part of Wall Street, Mortgage Bankers, Rating Agencies, members of both political parties, foreign central banks and their respective governments, shareholders, and most importantly the American consumer, not merely one factor or another. While congress / Clinton / Bush might have enabled the start of subprime lending, it was the greed and ignorance of all parties involved that kept it going forward. The problem isn't only limited to the inner cities but extends to the mega church attending residents of the exurbs and other residents of "real america" that thought it was their constitutional right for the granite/stainless/plasmas/2 oversize suvs that are at the heart of this problem. America, we're in a real mess here, and thank god the idiots Palin/McCain didn't end up in the white house (unfortunately I voted for them). Neither one has the intellectual capacity to deal with this (nor do any of the contributors to this publication) mess (demonstrated by lack of discussion about economics at the RNC, poor math of Joe the Plumber, Palin's remark that it's not our fault someone convinced us to buy a house we couldn't afford, etc.....). Then again what would you expect from someone who graduated at the bottom of their class and a community college hopper.
Roy| 11.25.08 @ 4:21AM
I really have never quite understood how "greed" was supposed to lead to libertarianism.
We can squabble over whether the free economy, in which you keep the fruits of your labors, is better than the socialist economy, in which all wealth is put in a pot and distributed evenly by all wise bureaucrats.
What should not need to be squabbled over is that, based on sheer "greed" alone, the "me' economy beats the crap out of either. The way that works is that all the wealth in the economy is put into one big pot and distributed to me.
Of course - this is difficult to enforce, but if I can put together a special interest including me and some other group and convince everybody to pay us off - why not? based on "greed" anyway. Judging by the election results, a whole hell of a lot of Americans think this way.
The fact is that libertarianism is a moral principle, and sometimes one that requires a good deal of material sacrifice. I know libertarians don't like to think that, but it is true. You can justify the free economy as a particular case of the God-given right to freedom. You can justify it as the best thing for the community as a whole. What you can't do is justify it to every particular individual as his best choice, based on "greed".
As far as the leftoids blathering on about how they are oh-so "intellectual" - the emperor not only has no clothes, but he really needs to hit the gym.
Karl| 12.28.08 @ 1:56AM
How exciting, the death of capitalism. Who in the Kremlin said there was no God? There is a God, and when USA collapses into the cesspool it truly is, the world will celebrate the end of USA