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The Spectacle Blog
Re: Dead Certain
Speaking of polls, the Real Clear Politics average that so many of us watch is really off today, because it still includes an outdated (by today's polling standards) and out-of-whack Pew Research poll that shows Obama up by 15 percent.
Speaking of polls, the Real Clear Politics average that so many of us watch is really off today, because it still includes an outdated (by today's polling standards) and out-of-whack Pew Research poll that shows Obama up by 15 percent. That's eight percentage points greater than the next-largest margins of any of the other polls. RCP currently shows an average of 5.9 percent in favor of Obama; removing the Pew poll lowers the RCP average to 4.7 percent.
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http://spectator.org/blog/2008/10/29/re-dead-certain
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Captain America| 10.29.08 @ 1:31PM
That's where RCP is at a disadvantage. It is designed to track all polls, even those far from the mainstream. By weighing all poll results equally, it doesn't sufficiently account for most recent ones.