A new Washington Post/ABC News poll (story here, full data here) has Obama opening up a 6-point lead over McCain in Ohio, a state that is a must win for Republicans. While voters still trust McCain more on handling terrorism and the war in Iraq, Obama now has a 13 point edge when it comes to handling the economy. If this were 2004, McCain would be in strong position — after all, Ohio exit polls last time around showed that a combined 30 percent of voters considered terrorism or Iraq their most important issue compared with 24 percent who cited the econmy/jobs. However, in the new Post/ABC poll, just 9 percent of Ohioans chose Iraq or terrorism, while 52 percent identified “economy/jobs” as their most important issue. Also, in 2004, the much-discussed moral values issues were the most important to 23 percent of the Ohio electorate, and Bush dominated among the group. In the Post/ABC poll, however, moral/family values were named by just 1 percent of participants. If you define the term more broadly to include ethics/honesty/corruption in government and abortion, that gets you up to a total of 8 percent for values-related issues. The bottom line, as I mentioned last week, is that the presidential campaign has largely been overtaken by events. The economy is now the issue and the Democratic candidate has a built in advantage because an unpopular Republican has been in the White House for eight years. It’s difficult to see what McCain can do to change these basic dynamics.
UPDATE: I will note that the CNN/Time poll has the race in Ohio tighter, with Obama up 3 points, and a Fox News/Rasmussen poll has McCain up by 1. Overall, the RCP average has Obama up by 3.8.
A man of faith in a godless age is hitting Americans where it hurts.
Mr. and Mrs. American Spectator Reader, let P.J. O’Rourke talk sense to your kids.
In Britain, defending your property can get you life.
The debacle of this president’s administration is both a cause and a symptom of the decline of American values. Unless Congress impeaches him, that decline will go on unchecked. An eminent jurist surveys the damage and assesses the chances for the recovery of our culture.
It won’t take long for conservatives to scratch this presidential wannabe off their 2008 scorecard.
The American Christmas, like the songs that celebrate it, makes room for everybody under the rainbow. Is that why so many people seem to be hostile to it?
Was the President done in by the economy, or by the politics of the economy?