Remember the controversy over whether Sarah Palin was, gasp, a
Buchananite? Sean Scallon has an
interesting article in the current
issue of the American Conservative exploring how
Jacksonian social conservatives migrated from the 1990s Buchanan
Brigades to the Bush Leagues, even though they represent polar
opposites in terms of foreign policy.
The break between Buchanan and Jacksonians like Palin
had at least as much to do with foreign policy as with his split
from the Republican Party. The anti-interventionist arguments of
his 1999 book A Republic, Not an Empire might have
thrilled old Taft Republicans in the upper Midwest and warmed the
ground around Col. Robert McCormick’s grave, but they alienated
Buchanan’s demographic base, which preferred the culture warrior to
the anti-warrior. The America First movement had always been weak
in the South and border states-with all their bases and military
industries and their martial culture extending back to Scots-Irish
roots-and the surplus population from those areas continued to
settle throughout the country even after World War II, including in
Sarah Palin’s Alaska….
Palin represents not the return of the Buchanan Brigades but, as
Daniel Larison has said, the “recreation of the Bush II coalition”
of Jacksonian Protestants and neoconservatives. Her presence on the
ticket reconnects the voters who supported Mike Huckabee to the
Republican establishment from which they were alienated between
2006 and the moment of Palin’s nomination. That’s why Bill Kristol
is as much a fan of Palin as Buchanan is: her presence on the
ticket reinvigorates the party’s base and gives the GOP a chance to
keep Kristol’s friends and associates in power. He knows the
neoconservatives need the Jacksonians in order to win, which is why
he wasn’t promoting Joe Lieberman as McCain’s running mate.
How in
line with the neocons Palin ends up being could help shape the
direction of the American right, Scallon concludes. But for now, he
says, “The Buchanan
Brigades of which Sarah Palin was a member are long gone, their
ranks now firmly in neoconservative hands.” The one question I
wished he’d explored is whether there is anything paleos themselves
could do to influence conservatism and appeal to the voters who
have gone from Buchanan to Bush. The last few years have shown
paleos were wrong to romanticize “Middle American Radicals.” Dismissing them
as red-state fascists may also prove a
mistake.