I predict that if this bailout plan passes as expected, the
relief will only be temporary, and that a new crisis will emerge
when even more capital flees the US markets because the dollar
isn't strong enough to make the investments worthwhile. If John
McCain had any sense, what he would do is endorse one of the
conservative plans (McCotter, Gingrich, Hensarling) and bend
Paulson and company to HIS will. Because here's what's gonna happen
if he doesn't: Obama will find some reason to vote against it (a
Clintonesque hairs-splitting sort of reason, making clear that he
likes the overall concept but that it just doesn't "protect" some
important victim group or other). The plan will pass anyway, and if
it works, he's actually no worse off, because his vote didn't make
a difference -- but if something else goes wrong, he can point to
his vote against it as a sign of wise forethought and willingness
to think for himself.
This is not a good plan. It should not be adopted. And
conservatives hungry for leadership from McCain will again be
disappointed -- unless, in a surprise, he actually does do
something dramatic to re-emphasize free-market principles.