I still say no, and that they're more likely to lose seats than
make gains. But this new Gallup poll shows a post convention bounce
for the GOP brand itself, with the double digit lead in the generic
ballot enjoyed by Democrats all year narrowing to just three
points. The poll, according to the release, "casts some doubt on
the previously assumed inevitability of the Democrats' maintaining
control of Congress." I'd like to see more polls reinforcing this,
and look at more district-by-district polling, before I take it too
seriously.
One other point is that a few months ago, we hosted a breakfast
with House minority leader John Boehner and he argued that the GOP
leadership wasn't going to try and nationalize elections, but
rather instruct their candidates to do what they needed to within
their own district. I wonder whether, given the improving fortunes
of Republicans, they will change course and decide to run a
national campaign.
topics:
John Boehner
