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I don't think it was as impressive as his 2004 convention speech, but it was serviceable and tough. It's going to come down to what the threshold question of this election is: If it hinges on whether people want to definitively turn the page on the Bush years, Obama knows how to make that argument and it's one Republicans will lose. If the electorate expects something from the candidates' resume to prove they can deliver on the change they promise, the Democrats have shown they can't really make that case. That's the Republicans' one opening.