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My guess is that McCain will pick Pawlenty. His Tom Ridge comments were a serious trial balloon, so Ridge is a possibility unless the conservative reacton dissuaded him (which you can never guarantee with McCain). There's an outside chance he'll pick Eric Cantor. Cantor would be the least bad, but I take Quin's point about the political risks.

Obama seems to be inching toward Tim Kaine, foolishly in my view, though it could help him flip Virginia. If he wants a more seasoned foreign-policy hand, he could choose Sam Nunn. Or he could try to replicate Walter Mondale's success and have an Obama-Ferraro unity ticket.

UPDATE: Of course, the Ridge comments could just as easily have been a trial balloon for Giuliani as for Ridge himself.