The question is how one defines victory and whether that
definition is broader than simply hoping for the election of people
with R's next to their name regardless of what, if anything, they
actually do in office. I agree that a lot of young conservatives
are too cavalier about the consequences of unified Democratic
government, especially at a time when the Democratic Party is more
homogeneously liberal than it has ever been. I'm from Massachusetts
-- I know one-party liberal Democratic rule and Republican
minorities very well. It is a political development best avoided.
But it is undeniable that conservatives have won by losing before:
the Goldwater debacle of 1964, Gerald Ford's loss being followed by
Ronald Reagan's victory, and George H.W. Bush's defeat being
followed by 1994.
Should conservatives have accepted Rockefeller Republicanism and
tried to move it in the right direction? Some influential
conservatives at the time, like James Burnham, thought so. And the
answer was by no means as clear then as it seems in retrospect: the
1964 LBJ landslide took out a lot of congressional Republicans,
paving the way for disastrous Great Society liberalism. At least
some of these Republicans might have survived with Nelson
Rockefeller at the top of the ticket. The GOP recovered somewhat in
1966, electing one Ronald Reagan governor of California, and
liberalism went totally mad in 1968.
Conservatives and Republicans would profit from a certain amount
of house cleaning. The challenge is to avoid throwing the baby out
with the bathwater. That and to avoid mixing metaphors.