Though he's had the nomination wrapped up for four months (about
the same amount of time as between now and Election Day), McCain
has
shaken up his campaign to put Steve Schmitt in charge so that
he can craft a message. I think it'll be a pretty tall order for a
number of reasons. One is that the fundamentals so favor Democrats
and the public is so against Bush, that no matter how skilled a
political operator is, it would be difficult to craft a winning
message for any Republican candidate. McCain has to appeal to
independents while trying not to anger the conservative base too
much; he must distance himself from Bush, but can't throw Bush
under the bus. It's a real high wire act. But the biggest obstacle
to consistent messaging is the idiosyncratic personality of McCain
himself. By nature, he's not very scripted, and that's one of the
very things that makes him appealing to a lot of voters. It's also
not clear that he has any sort of clear ideology that ties all of
his various positions together. I mean, how does somebody try to
talk about free markets and limited government, have a good record
of fighting pork-barrel spending, and yet want to go after CEO pay,
support the re-importation of price-controlled Canadian drugs, and
regulate political speech? So, no matter what Schmitt does, at the
end of the day, McCain himself will always be the message.