The math is frightening. . . . [T]here is a very good
chance that Democrats, for all practical purposes, could win enough
seats this year that the GOP would be a minority party for the next
decade - and perhaps beyond. When 98% of incumbents in the House
are victorious and redistricting looms in 2012, the chances of
Republicans overcoming a 40 or 50-seat Democratic majority in the
next couple of election cycles are slim.
Moran blames this on the wave of retirements by House Republicans.
It might make more sense to blame the problem on certain
Republicans (inter alia,
Mark Foley and
Bob Ney) who didn't retire soon enough.