James, I don't care how much an Obama appearance in Alaska (or
Wyoming, or Texas) might help some down-ticket Democrats, or how
much money he has to burn, a presidential campaign is a
presidential campaign. If Obama were a popular incumbent, running
for re-election with a 15-point lead in the polls, it
might make sense for him to try to "share the love"
without regard for his own political fortunes. But the
Gallup poll indicates a neck-and-neck race, and there are only
so many campaign days between now and Nov. 4.
Team Obama does not necessarily need to follow the swing-state
pattern of recent elections scrupulously, but they do need to
target states based on legitimate strategic value to their campaign
-- and it is very difficult to see any value in sending Obama to
Anchorage. The logistics alone argue against it.
In fact, assuming that David Plouffe hasn't gone completely
bonkers, I think it safe to say that this talk of Alaska -- and
Wyoming and Texas -- is just that, talk. Either Plouffe's
trying to head-fake the McCain campaign off-balance, or else he's
trying to deceive Democrats (and their media minions) into
believing that Team Obama is such a mighty juggernaut that the
candidate can afford to kill time in Wyoming to help local
Democrats, rather than campaigning in a state he might actually
win. I frankly think they're over their heads, they know it, and
they're talking this bold talk as a facade to hide their own
panic.
topics:
Alaska