Lost in last night's Obama self-back-patting was the fact that
few nominees have ever limped to the finish line so weakly. For at
least two solid months, EVERYbody in Conventional Wisdomland had
said Obama would easily win both Montana and South Dakota. (Yes, in
the last week a few had said South Dakota might be close, but even
they were wrong.) Instead, he got walloped in South Dakota despite
the strong and longstanding support of every major Democratic
political figure in the state. This comes on top of weak showings
in a whole string of states. When the smoke clears, it will be
evident that among elected delegates (i.e., not superdelegates) he
will barely beat Clinton, and that his overall margin right now
comes substantially from his growing edge in superdelegates. In
short, he built a big lead among elected delegates and used it to
bring superdelegates on board, only to see the elected delegate
lead dissipate badly. He will end up winning the nomination -- IF
he wins, which is still an open question until the convention vote
itself as long as Hillary draws breath -- because he cleverly
played the expectations game in order to make himself the Anointed
One. But he is an Anointed One with his sheen having been
considerably dulled, who has won as much because his main opponent
is so disliked (and distrusted) as because of any accomplishment of
his own. And now he is in an almost no-win situation in terms of
picking a Veep who is not Hillary but who will somehow make the
Clintons and their people actually want to seriously help him
win. Weak, weak, weak.