In the comments below, Eric Dondero says
if neither Bob Barr nor Wayne Root wins the LP nomination folks
like him will become Libertarians for McCain. Over at the
American Conservative, Daniel McCarthy and Daniel Larison both say that it's
Barr or bust when it comes to voting Libertarian this fall.
Dondero's foreign-policy views are, to say the least, very
different from the Daniels'.
Which makes me wonder if the Ron Paul Republican/Rush Limbaugh
Republican coalition Barr would have to put together to be a factor
in the presidential race might actually be possible. The biggest
dividing line was always going to be foreign policy: the regular
Republicans who oppose McCain from the right nevertheless agree
with him on the war and in some cases think his views on torture
and Gitmo would prevent him from waging it strongly enough. Paul
supporters obviously oppose the war. How would Barr get past
this?
Triangulation, perhaps. Barr's positions on foreign policy are
more hawkish than Paul's and more dovish than McCain's. That could
end up turning off voters on both sides (and may be a liability at
the LP convention). But it might be enough to convince anti-McCain
conservatives that they aren't pulling the lever for a pacifist.
Paleos, on the other hand, might decide that Barr will get a larger
vote and be more likely to effect the outcome of the election than
Constitution Party nominee Chuck Baldwin and that it is therefore
worth putting up with ideological imperfections. None of this
necessarily means Barr will get the LP nod, though the Donderos and
the Daniels may end up united in a different way if he loses: I
can't imagine any of them voting for Mary Ruwart.
topics:
Foreign Policy, Constitution