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A miraculous Hillary comeback seems almost too much to hope for at this point, James. She's outperformed all expectations simply by managing to draw it out this far.

Still, as I wrote Monday morning, Obama seems frighteningly overconfident and two recent polls show Oregon tightening, and it ain't over 'til it's over.

I've never been any good at prognostication, but for what it's worth, David Weigel of Reason called me Monday afternoon and offered to bet me dinner that Obama wins Oregon by at least 10. I took the bet, but there's no way I can really lose, since I'll be drinking free at Reason's event tonight anyway. Whatever the cost of a dinner, I'll still be ahead of the game.