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Early PA Exits

There's not much that we can tell at this point, but for what it's worth...

Drudge reports that Hillary Clinton is clinging to a 52-48 lead over Barack Obama. That would clearly be a very bad outcome for Clinton if it is at all predictive of the final numbers.

According to the AP, "One in five voters said they decided for whom to vote within the final week of the six-week Pennsylvania campaign. About one in 10 said they made up their mind Tuesday."

In past primaries, late deciders have tended to break for Clinton.

UPDATE:

The Page:

Gun owners -- Clinton 58, Obama 42; College degree -- Obama 54, Clinton 46; Made unfair attacks -- Clinton 67, Obama 49.

CNN:

Among first time voters, 60 percent went for Obama while only 38 percent went for Clinton. That discrepancy could keep the race close.

But in good news for Clinton, among voters who decided in the last week, she bests Obama by 16 points, 58 percent to 42 percent.

Plus CBS with some potentially good news for McCain:

Voters' loyalty to their chosen candidate was high, as more than six in ten (64 percent) Clinton voters said they would not be satisfied if Obama ended up the Democratic nominee, and more than half of Obama voters (54 percent) said they would not be satisfied if Clinton won the nomination. Overall, 70 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats would be satisfied if Clinton were the nominee, while 64 percent would be satisfied with Obama.

Drudge:

Women: Clinton 55% Obama 44

Men: Clinton 47% Obama 53

The final SurveryUSA poll (which had Clinton up 6) anticipated that women would make up 55 percent of the electorate. That poll had a more dramatic gender gap, with Clinton leading 23 points among women, and Obama leading by 15 points among men.

topics:
Barack Obama

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