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I'd say Hillary will benefit marginally from last night and to a greater degree from Obama's recent slip-ups. If she does not win Pennsylvania next week, probably even by a comfortable margin, it will be shocking. Unless Obama gets a bump coming out of North Carolina, Hillary may well win Indiana. She has stayed in the race for events like this that might shake the superdelegates' faith in Obama's electability.

That said, Phil is right that her performance also angered the people she needs most to win. Closing the deficit in the popular vote and pledged delegates still seems out of reach. Frankly, for Hillary this may be a nomination not worth having at this point. She can only get it under conditions that are likely to embitter some of the youngest and most idealistic new Democratic voters, demoralize and anger black voters, and divide the party going into a general election race against a reasonably strong Republican candidate. I don't know if there is anything to the liberal line that Hillary is trying to ensure Obama's defeat in November, but it would make some sense.

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More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III

http://spectator.org/blog/2008/04/17/good-night-for-hillary

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