Today in the Wall Street Journal,
David Malpass makes the case for a stronger dollar. I will go
farther than he did: If George W. Bush does not take immediate
steps (including public pressure on Fed Chair Ben Bernanke to take
immediate steps) to strengthen the dollar, along the lines of what
Malpass advocates and what Larry Kudlow advocated last week, Bush
will go down as one of the worst presidents in American history.
Because if he doesn’t strengthen the dollar, the economy will
utterly tank (which, of course, it is close to doing anyway, mostly
BECAUSE of five years of a weak-dollar policy), and then none of
the other good that Bush has done will matter. If the economy
tanks, the mission in Iraq will be unsustainable as well — and
only a success in Iraq can overcome this president’s other
disasters, such as the pathetically misguided bumbling in Iraq for
the three years before the surge; the Katrina screw-up AND the
screw-up of the long-term relief effort as well; the out-of-control
spending binge; and other assorted incompetencies.
On the other hand, if Bush strengthens the dollar, and thus
rescues the good economy that the 2003 tax cuts (far more than the
ones in 2001) played such a big role in creating, then he can still
not only keep the ball rolling in Iraq as well but can help the
election of the candidate, John McCain, who can see Bush’s vision
for a transformed Middle East through to at least a somewhat
satisfactory conclusion. Bush’s reputation long-term will
absolutely depend on what happens AFTER he leaves office — and if
he leaves an economic shambles and a Democratic president, none of
what he has done will be concluded in a way that bolsters Bush’s
legacy.
Plus, if he doesn’t act now to strengthen the dollar, it will
show a degree either of stupidity or of ignorance, or both, that is
truly breathtaking. I want to believe better of this president. But
really, how much evidence of spiraling gold prices, spiraling
gasoline prices, spiraling food prices, and tanking dollar value
will it take before he realized that all of those items are
connected?