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The SEIU, the influential union with 1.9 million members, has just officially endorsed Obama. Also, a new ARG poll has Obama leading Clinton in Texas 48-42. The poll has Clinton's lead among latinos at only 2 points, and that's before this endorsement (the SEIU has a huge presence in the Lonestar State). And remember, Clinton not only has to win Texas, but win by a huge margin to be able to catch Obama in delegates. It's worth noting that due to Texas's complex allocation system, the popular vote isn't a great indicator of how delegates will actually get doled out. But even accounting for that, if this poll is accurate, it doesn't bode well for Clinton.

UPDATE: A friend who is on the SEIU conference call announcing the endorsement emails that SEIU president Andy Stern said the vote in the union's executive committee was "overwhelming" for Obama. "It is time for a real change in America and that is why we are excited about endorsing Barack Obama for president," Stern said, acknowledging that there were no serious differences between the two candidates on actual labor issues.

UPDATE II: Other polls show Clinton with a comfortable lead in Texas.

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Barack Obama