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Kristol Ball

Amid all the anti-Clinton disgust being expressed in the latest op-eds, including erstwhile Clinton defender and Hillary campaign biographer Michael Tomasky's column, along comes this audacious prognostication from Bill Kristol in his New York Times column today:

Right now, Hillary Clinton is ahead in the polls in almost all the big states voting. She is a tough and capable campaigner, and she may be able to hold on to those leads. But it is now clear that putting her in the White House brings a hyperactive Bill back in with her. Who needs it? Liberals and Democrats can get basically the same policies without the Clinton baggage, and in choosing Obama, they can nominate a more electable candidate.

So Hillary's advantage in the polls will, I suspect, erode. The erosion could be hastened by the expected endorsement of Obama by Ted Kennedy on Monday. It could be helped further along if Al Gore hops aboard the Obama bandwagon later in the week. Meanwhile, Tom Daschle, the Senate Democratic leader during most of the Clinton presidency, is actively supporting Obama. Talk to Democrats in D.C., and it's amazing how many who know the Clintons well -- many of whom worked in the Clinton administration -- are eager that they not return to the White House.

This week, the Clinton team will dump every bit of opposition research it has on Obama. We'll see how Obama responds.

But the moment of truth could come at the Democratic debate Thursday, in Los Angeles. Edwards may have dropped out by then. If so, it will be a one-on-one showdown. Even if he's there, he'll be effectively a bystander. Will Obama hold his own?

I'd say that even if you've (understandably) skipped the previous debates, this is one to tune into. I had a dinner scheduled Thursday night. I'm canceling it. The Giants probably won't beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl. But this could be the week Obama upsets the Clintons.

topics:
Hillary Clinton

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http://spectator.org/blog/2008/01/28/kristol-ball
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