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PAULINE, SC -- I came out here for a Mitt Romney event, but it was canceled. I doubt there would have been much of an audience if it hadn't been -- this area got a dusting of snow last night, which terrifies South Carolina drivers, and it's raining this morning. I heard that some of Romney's events yesterday were canceled, too. It hardly matters. Romney is making only a token effort here -- he has no ads running* -- focusing instead on the more fertile ground in Nevada. It's a smart move; with McCain, Huckabee, and Thompson duking it out, and Giuliani putting all his chips on Florida, it's likely that Romney will win the Nevada caucuses, and the polls show it. (Whether victories in Michigan and Nevada will lead to victories elsewhere, of course, is an open question.)

*Correction: Romney went back on the air Tuesday and is upping his ad buy. A Thompson spokesman was telling me yesterday that Romney wasn't running ads, but obviously his information was out of date.