Let's say Thompson or Huckabee takes South Carolina and Rudy
takes Florida. Suddenly you have a situation on Feb. 5 where Rudy
can win the winner take all states of New York, New Jersey, and
Connecticut; Thompson or Huckabee takes the South; Romney wins
Massachusetts and Utah; McCain wins Arizona and the rest of the
states get divided up.
Perhaps, at this point, Romney is hoping for a brokered
convention. The more cerebral, Beltway logic that prompted the
National Review to endorse him--that he is
the best one to preserve the Reagan coalition--may resonate more
among delegates to the convention than among actual voters.