New polls out in
Florida show a tight
4-person race. Team Rudy is touting the
huge crowds he got over the weekend and reminding us
that early voting started today. The morning Rudy email notes that
221,053 absentee ballots have been requested with more than 41,000
returned and that in 2004 and 2006 30% of votes were not cast at
the voters polling place (I assume this was a combination of early
and absentee voting.) Rudy of course has been there almost nonstop
and shows no interest in detouring to SC. Like Thompson in SC, Rudy
is “all in” in Florida. Unlike Thompson, however, he’s in a
statistical tie for now for the lead. Whether that will be true
after this week’s two primaries and one caucus (ah yes, remember
Nevada) remains to be seen. Sunday morning we’ll either have
greater clarity or one big free for all, as I explain
here.