Michigan is getting a bit rougher. Romney and his
email squad are continuing to beat the drum that McCain is
"pessimistic" about bringing all the auto jobs back and now hits
McCain on his support on
CAFE. Today McCain
hit back with a mailer of his own going after Romney on his
tax, er, "fee" and "loophole closing", record in Massachusetts.
Romney is playing the
family card extremely hard ( e.g. his parents are buried there
he tells one crowd). I don't know whether voters, especially those
under 60 yrs old, will be persuaded. (His sister lost a senate
primary race despite the family name.) Aside from these skirmishes,
I do think the race is peculiarly less intense considering what is
at stake compared to NH and Iowa. It may be the national press
corps is tuckered out and in a big state the energy and intense
personal retail politics gets diluted.
UPDATE: McCain might make an
electability argument fairly effectively. He is the only GOP
candidate in a statistical tie with Hillary or Obama in the latest
CNN
national poll. The others surveyed all lose by double digits. He
has a favorable/unfavorable ratio of 54/29% while Huckabee is
38/30% and Romney is at 31/39%. Interestingly 43% of people say
they definitely will not vote for McCain. Hillary also scores a
43%. 62% say "never" to Romney and 52% to Huckabee. For reasons
unknown Thompson is not in the survey.