An extremely smart take is here. I and others
were critical of many pollsters but Charlie Cook points out how
very accurate the Des Moines Register turned out to be. He notes:
"Their headline on Tuesday was 'Poll: Obama, Huckabee lead into
final stretch' with Mike Huckabee up over Mitt Romney by six (it
was 9) and Obama up by 7 and 8 over Clinton and Edwards. It was on
touch wider with 2nd and 3rd reversed, but that was pretty good
polling and many doubted them. It doesn't get much better than
that." I think there is a larger message here as well. The national
media and all of us would be well advised to pay more attention to
how the race is portrayed locally. Iowa press for example didn't
excoriate Huckabee for thee odd presser. Yepsen and others picked
up on the huge Democratic turnout possibility which sealed Obama's
win. The national media may not always be in touch with the
heartland, but hometown papers often are.