McCain may be up ten points or
up
four points or down
four points depending on which poll you like. They don't yet
account for the results from Iowa which may or may not impact
Granite State voters. Larry J. Sabato reminds me today that
historically "As goes Iowa, maybe goes SC" but that may be it. NH
voters generally make up their own minds. If we learned anything
from Iowa we should remember a couple things. First, the polls
generally have the direction if not the magnitude correct. Second,
local media does a pretty good job giving us a sense of whether the
candidates are making progress or just making fools of
themselves.