Okay, I want to be the first on record to go way WAY WAY out on
a limb here. I retain the right to revise and extend these remarks
BEFORE the caucuses, because I have some other feelers out that I
need to check thoroughly before this is a definitive prediction.
(How's THAT for hedging my bets?!) Anyway, I think this might be
the first presidential caucus/primary in history where the FOURTH
place winner is the story of the day. In Iowa, I think there is a
real chance for Joe Biden to run such a surprisingly strong fourth
place finish that he suddenly gets grouped in the top tier of
candidates moving forward, with a real chance after that to do well
in South Carolina. Again, this is based on preliminary evidence,
but UNLESS I revise this prediction BEFORE the caucuses, it will
stand as my official prediction. I am picking up signs of
unanticipated Biden strength. You heard it here first.
topics:
Joe Biden
