Romney would have liked to have made this a two-man
race but while he and Rudy were fighting it out Huckabee charged
into the first tier. Well so much for the 2 man race theory, huh?
Let's see how things might go: 1) Huckabee wins in Iowa, the Romney
bubble bursts. McCain wins in NH and goes on to become the
consensus candidate. (Hey, he's right on
healthcare and apparently doing well at
MTV night.) 2) Huckabee wins Iowa .. and most everything else
after Romney barely wins NH. 3) Huckabee wins Iowa. The rest of the
early states get divided up. Rudy wins Florida and most of the
February 5 states to take the nomination. 4) Huckabee loses Iowa
after a barrage of negative ads, Romney sweeps the early states and
wins it all. 5) Thompson.. well... er.... I give up but anything is
possible. UPDATE: And this chart is very helpful - a swarm for
second place.