There is some
polling evidence in addition to the Fox NH poll -- from the new
ARG polls in Iowa(Huckabee down by one point) and South Carolina
(Romney falling five points from the last poll to second place)
that Romney is slipping in the early states. Part of the
explanation may be that rivals are picking up the pace-- we saw
Thompson's video at the debate going after Romney on his abortion
statements in 1994 and 2002 and today his campaign chief blasted
Romney for flip flopping on immigration. Rudy of course has been
hammering him for a couple of weeks. Part of this is the Huckabee
surge. And part is the media
coverage of Romney( Rudy also had the press week from hell) which
is reciting the flip flop theme. In Iowa, his efforts to begin to
get tough with Huckabee are portrayed negatively by
some ("bad mouthing Huckabee") which creates another storyline
that Romney is going negative as his numbers decline.
Realistically( cause real people don't follow campaigns between
Christmas and New Years) we have slightly more than three weeks to
tee things up for Iowa and NH. Now is the time for Romney to show
he can pull it together and prove that putting all the chips on the
early states was the right move. UPDATE: Blaming the media is probably not the way to
go.