Rudy is going up with a TV ad in NH
tomorrow. The ad, showing Rudy up close talking right into the
camera, reflects the often heard refrain from campaign advisors
that "Rudy is the best spokesman for Rudy." The theme is "tested"
and uses to no one's surprise the NY experience as evidence he can
get results. Almost as interesting is the statement from campaign
manager Michael DuHaime in the release saying: "America deserves an
authentic leader who has been tested in times of crisis and has a
real record of results." That "A" word -- authentic -- has been
rattling around in my brain for a week since all of the top
campaigns' spokesgals used that term at the national press club. It is both a
sword and a shield. There's another guy, not so authentic, Rudy
will say(sword) and although he doesn't match up on all issues with
the base he is "real"(shield). And I suspect we're going to see
some comparison ads as time goes on looking at NY vs. Massachusetts
governance. For now, the ads indicate the pre-season is over, the
headlines with Romney's poll numbers aren't what the Rudy team
wants to see a couple weeks from now and it's time to get serious.
UPDATE: And at least on national polling something is going on:
Cook/RT Strategies has Rudy's largest lead to date in that poll
(17 pts) with him at 29% and Thompson, Romney and McCain all at
12%. This reflects the drop off we've seen for Thompson in other
polls( here he is down 8 pts from mid-September) but also a drop
for McCain( 4 pts) and a little bump (3 pts) for Romney. This is
what Rudy opponents' feared: Rudy has his core of roughly 30% and
the others divide up the rest. Whether this will be duplicated in
individual states is the big question.