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New Hampshire

NH polls here and here should calm nerves in Romney's camp, give some hope to Hillary's opponents and tell Thompson's folks that trailing Huckabee and Ron Paul in two polls is bad news, even if it's not remotely a must win state for him. The underlying poll numbers show some openings for the others and suggest Romney has not yet put this away. In the UNH poll only 16% of voters have made up their mind and McCain leads 31%( Rudy at 29%) over Romney(12%) on who best can deal with terrorism. In addition in who is the strongest leader category Rudy leads Romney 34-26%. Rudy also leads Romney 34-30% on the likely to beat Hillary question.Thompson does win one issue-- a whopping 43% think he's least likely to beat the Democrat. The big questions now: When does Rudy go up on the air in NH? Will McCain's ad buy begin to move his numbers? Who's the first candidate to use some "comparison" ads going after Romney's weak points?
UPDATE: And make no mistake for McCain NH is make or break. And McCain seems to be standing down from the fight with Rudy and going for Romney's weak spot-- foreign policy experience and leadership. (Judging from the poll numbers this seems to be a smart move.)

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More Blog Posts by Jennifer Rubin

http://spectator.org/blog/2007/11/11/new-hampshire

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