The trends seen in the ABC/Washington Post, Marist and Gallup
polls continue with the
NBC/Wall Street Journal poll: Rudy at 33%(up 3 pts), McCain in
second at 16%, Thompson dropping (8 pts) to 15% , Romney at 11% and
Huckbee up 4 pts to 8%. What we have seen in all these polls is: 1)
Rudy edging up slightly; 2) Thompson's bounce has faded ; 3) he's
been replaced in second by McCain and 3) despite a lot of activity
and paid ads Romney has not moved significantly in the last 6
months and now has Huckabee moving up behind him. We will see
whether there is similar movement soon in early primary states
where Romney continues to do much better and McCain much worse than
their national poll numbers. In Florida Rudy has a comfortable
lead but he has yet to break through in NH, perhaps his best shot
at a pre-January 29(Florida) win.
UPDATE: Bob
Novak thinks Thompson did himself in with the Meet the Press
performance but
Paul Weyrich might have been on the mark when he observed "
I've got to tell you, I do not think Thompson really wants to be
elected that badly."